THE BREAK-DOWN: Informa goes all-in on events with £2.24 billion Clarion deal
This is our blow-by-blow guide on the day's major stock market news
Company
LON:INF
Informa PLC is a provider of specialist information to the academic and scientific, professional and commercial communities globally through publishing, events and performance improvement (PI). The company is organised into three operating divisions: Academic and Scientific, Professional and Commercial. The Academic and Scientific division provides a portfolio of publications, events and data services for academic and commercial users in the scientific, technical and medical areas, and humanities and social sciences areas. The Professional division includes financial data analysis, PI, diagnostics and customized training for corporate and government organizations, and finance, insurance, law and tax based in the United Kingdom and Holland. The Commercial division provides print, electronic, and consultancy services and events to the telecoms and media markets, and the maritime and commodities industries.
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This is our blow-by-blow guide on the day's major stock market news
A Bloomberg Intelligence analyst has described the price Informa is paying for Clarion as reasonable for a scaled events operator.
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A look at some risers and fallers on the market today.
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The UK's premier share index finished up around 67 points, or 0.92%, at 7,385
The events and media company said it will pay an ordinary dividend of 3.0p per share
The FTSE 100 events and information group said it has no commercial entities or operations in Ukraine, Russia or Belarus
Markets will also be looking ahead to big central bank decisions later in the week
"We received significant interest in the Pharma Intelligence business," said Stephen Carter, the CEO of FTSE 100 company Infoma
The events and business services group expects revenue of around £1.8bn and adjusted operating profit of £375mln for 2021
Analysts pointed to a "growing body of evidence" that a recovery in events and exhibitions will be "stronger and quicker" than the market expects
Informa's contribution to the deal is FBX, which has been valued at US$243mln
“The extent of any further revenue growth will be dependent on the pace and scale of return of physical events outside of Mainland China,” it said
The events and business information group revealed full-year sales and profits in line with its earlier guidance
The broker assumed that the exhibitions group could achieve pre-coronavirus profitability in the events business "by 2023"
The exhibitions organiser reoported “continuing strength” in digital subscriptions, with growth across virtual events and media brands, and re-opening of physical events in parts of Asia
The board has extended its COVID-19 ‘action plan’, extending the postponement programme to mid-to-late spring 2021, more cost savings and strengthening the balance sheet
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Other updates and results are expected in the coming week from Informa, SSP, Cineworld, DFS and PZ Cussons
"We have previously seen Informa as an attractive recovery play and long-term structural growth story. However, from here we have doubts"
Builders and building materials
The investment bank highlighted increased education spending in emerging markets and a “rise in mid-career upskilling/reskilling” as key growth trends in the sector
Over 160 events were cancelled or postponed to next year while 300 went digital
“UK retail investors are not receiving their entitlements to participate in these often discounted fundraisings”
Over 400 events, representing roughly £460mln of revenue, have had to be rescheduled
“We have used our strong customer and supplier relationships to swiftly deploy a material postponement programme, shifting our events calendar to later dates in 2020”
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Britain's blue-chip benchmark closed down around five points at 5,960 on Tuesday. Sterling was down 1.36% against the US dollar.
Tuesday's agenda also includes results from Standard Life Aberdeen and M&G
The analysts said they “have found an increasing number of shows being postponed”
Ahead of results from Informa, analysts at Citigroup worry that in contrast to other segments of media, the disruption on events could be “significant” and “have a knock-on effect into 2021”
The City broker's analysts upgraded the stock to 'buy' from 'hold', and set a target price of 775p
The events and publishing giant said it expects 2019 revenue to be 3.5% higher than last year, ahead of the two key months of November and December
Last summer’s tie-up with UBM created a £10bn events giant, and the businesses seem to have bedded in nicely so far
Investments and investor services
FTSE 100 closed in the red on Wednesday as miners weighed after a sell-off in iron ore in China
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The Conservative Party leadership contest was decided by a relatively convincing margin of 92,153 votes to 46,656, while Love Island commands consolidated viewing figures of more than 5mln
The US bank's analysts ramped up their share price target to 1,150p from 870p for the advertising group as organic growth is expected to improve in the second half of the year
Investments and investor services
The UK's blue-chip benchmark added over 23 points to close at 7,184
“Informa has performed well through the first four months of the year, with steady trading across our enlarged portfolio of specialist international brands”
Investments and investor services
The UK benchmark added over 46 points at 7,277, but over the week the index dropped 0.96%
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The main focus for the Day Ahead will be trading updates from FTSE 100-listed events and business publisher Informa and FTSE 250-listed engineer Spectris
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The FTSE 100 index closed 37.62 points, or 0.5% lower at 7,434.13, albeit above the session low of 7,405.99 as US stocks continued to post big falls on Thursday
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Aside from Barclays numbers, the Day Ahead will also bring updates from the likes of Taylor Wimpey and RELX, plus the final CMA decision on the planned Sainsbury's/Asda merger
Analysts at the US investment banking giant think Informa shares look cheap compared to its peers
Informa boasted of continued progress across all of its operating divisions in 2018
"Brutal cuts from the ECB as GDP growth for 2019 is cut from 1.7% to 1.1%. With this in mind, it seems like any possible interest rate raises are all but completely ruled out until likely 2021," declared Jordan Hiscott, the chief trader at
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Results from Aviva, Admiral, Greggs and Premier Oil are all in the diary for Thursday.
The publishing and events organiser last week reported a 3.9% rise in underlying revenue for the first 10 months of the year
"At Informa, we remain focused on delivering improving growth and returns, whilst effectively combining UBM into the Informa Group to create brands and platforms for future growth and scale," said Stephen Carter, the group chief executive o
Investments and investor services
The UK's index of leading shares finished around 35 points lower at 7,105 on the day
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A host of data releases should give a much clearer picture of where the UK economy stands with the country on the brink of hopefully inking a Brexit deal
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Aside from the US elections and Fed policy meeting, updates from UK blue-chip retailers J Sainsbury, Wm Morrison Supermarkets and Marks & Spencer should draw the most attention in the coming week
Sky News reported that Philip Jansen is believed to be the preferred candidate to replace Patterson, who revealed in June he would stepping-down towards the end of this year
All four of the non-UBM divisions achieved revenue growth with the Academic division's organic growth of 3.5% catching the eye
The UK blue-chip index closed around 50 points lower at 7,658, while FTSE 250 was also down - over 99 points at 20,753
Investments and investor services
Among Wednesday's names are ITV, GlaxoSmithKline, Indivior, and Tullow Oil
Shire shares ended 5.89% up as the group received and rejected a takeover approach from Japan's Takeda Pharma
Investments and investor services
Thursday looks a pretty busy day for investors with a number of important updates due.
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Week Ahead includes trading statements from Primark owner Associated British Foods, Debenhams, and JD Sports, plus Q1 numbers from Unilever, Reckitt Benckiser and Rentokil Initial
Although Berenberg believes UBM is worth a lot less than what Informa is paying for it, the high probability of the bid being waved through means there is no longer any point in sticking with its 675p price target
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The Footsie may have mainly traded sideways throughout the day but there have been some notable movements among blue-chips.
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Day ahead includes full-year results from blue chips including broadcaster ITV PLC, housebuilder Taylor Wimpey PLC, motor insurer Admiral PLC, and mid cap estate agents Foxton's PLC
The deal will create the world’s largest business events company with a stock market value of £9bn
Investments and investor services
A look at some of the top risers and fallers in London today.
The proposed combination will see Informa offer UBM shareholders 163p in cash and 1.083 Informa shares for each UBM share they hold, valuing UBM at around 972.5p per share
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The fall-out from the Carillion collapse continued, the US market saw more volatility, meanwhile, Bitcoin continued to slump testing US$10,000.
Liberum raised its rating on Informa to ‘buy’ from ‘hold’ while it downgraded UBM to ‘hold’ from ‘buy’
A look at some of the biggest risers and fallers today in London
After a bullish run over the past few months, European and US markets endured a rare off day on Thursday
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Will Astra get into the MYSTIC? The company said not all hope was lost for its lung cancer trial, which flunked in the summer
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The week ahead includes earnings from M&S, Sainsbury's, ABF, Direct Line, Wetherspoon and AstraZeneca while macro-economic announcements will be thin on the ground
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Informa and Smith & Nephew are the only London-listed companies with any scheduled news due, so all eyes will turn to economic data