Admiral shares drop after JPMorgan downgrades to 'underweight'
JPMorgan said it has a "more cautious view" on motor pricing ahead of changes to the Ogden rate and whiplash reforms
Company
LON:ADM
Admiral Group began in January 1993 with just one brand, zero customers and 57 members of staff. By June 2008, the Group had nine brands, over 1.5 million vehicles insured and 2500 members of staff. Group turnover, comprising total premiums written, gross other income and allocated investment income, rose 14% to £472.5 million (H1 2007: £417.8 million).
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JPMorgan said it has a "more cautious view" on motor pricing ahead of changes to the Ogden rate and whiplash reforms
It was another quiet day in London but also another record close
The bank's analysts said insurers "look reasonably positioned – cushioned against market weakness by strong balance sheets and on PEs that are well within the long-term trading range”
Investments and investor services
On a separate note, Mifid II comes into force today with the aim of increasing transparency and making everyone in the investment chain more accountable for their decisions
The FTSE 100 gave up some of the gains made on its recent record-breaking run, with the pound's rise partially to blame
Goldman’s analysts said they believe the fall in Saga’s profit guidance is “primarily the result of structural rather than cyclical factors”, and therefore they expect the firm to “face ongoing challenges”
Insurers have been affected by inflation for so-called ‘escape of water’ claims for water damage in homes, while the market remains competitive
Investments and investor services
Direct Line is still the investment bank’s top pick, but it thinks RSA’s valuation is now “attractive”. The same can’t be said for Admiral or Esure, though…
The UK blue chip index closed its account on Tuesday up 2.09 at 7,526.
Admiral and Direct Line are seen as the main beneficiaries of the government's U-turn on the Ogden rate
Back in March, the government cut the Ogden rate to minus 0.75% from 2.5%, which forced insurers to pay out more to victims, hitting their profits as a result
Thursday lunch brought no surprises from the ECB, with the European Central Bank making no changes to interest rates.
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Some big names are due to publish results on Thursday, but the European Centeal Bank’s decision on interest rates is what most traders will be waiting on
The German broker, however, raised the target price for Admiral to 1,723p from 1,635p, albeit with the stock trading well above that new level at 1,916p, down 0.2% today
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Week ahead includes updates from a raft of housebuilders, including Barratt Developments, Berkeley Group and Bovis Homes, plus trading news from Halfords Group, and the latest European Central Bank Council meeting
Analysts at UBS said: “We see underlying margin deterioration in the core UK motor division as the key negative in the result. In addition, pricing increases appear weaker then peers at headline level”
Admiral's first-half profit was dented by the lower Ogden discount rate which determines the size of personal-injury payouts
The FTSE 100 closed up 49.18 at 7,433 after UK jobs data beats expectations
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Average earnings growth and unemployment rates are expected to remain unchanged in the second quarter at 2% and 4.5% respectively
The £11bn merger was originally agreed back in March but has had to clear various regulatory hurdles