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Software & services

CentralNIC a 'strong buy' after transformational deal

CentralNIC's joint broker Peel Hunt has plugged new numbers into its forecasting model to take account of the domain name specialist's acquisition of Instra.

Peel Hunt has released new forecasts for CentralNic (LON:CNIC) following the domain name specialist's transformational deal to acquire Aussie rival Instra Group.

The acquisition accelerates and de-risks CentralNIC’s expansion of its existing retail business, adding value-added services and a presence in target emerging markets, according to its joint broker.

CentralNIC has indicated it expects revenue synergies of £1.2mln from the acquisition from next year, and that's a conservative estimate, Peel Hunt asserts.

In its new forecasts, cost synergies are offset by integration and compliance costs related to the acquisition, with the upshot being that the broker is now forecasting adjusted underlying earnings (EBITDA) in 2016 of £5.9mln, up from its previous forecast of £5.1mln, on sales of £22.2mln (up from the previous forecast of £13.7mln).

For 2017, Peel Hunt sees adjusted EBITDA of £8.1mln (vs £6.3mln previously) on sales of £27.5mln (previously £16.8mln).

It is tipping CentralNIC to finish 2016 with net cash of £5.4mln, rising to £12.5mln at the end of 2017.

The broker rates the shares as a 'strong 'buy', with its 70p target price equating to a projected earnings multiple of 17.5, and an enterprise value of 10.5 times EBITDA.

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