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The Markets
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The Markets
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Tesco - Goldman Sachs and Credit Suisse lower 2024 forecasts

Margin pressures, higher wage inflation and lower savings than previously forecast were behind forecast revisions by the two investment banks.

Tesco PLC (LSE:TSCO)’s results were still being digested today with US investment bank, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), remaining a fan seeing value in the company despite cutting its forecasts for full year 2024.

It said the estimate changes reflected higher wage inflation than it had previously forecast following Tesco’s wage increase announcement, greater implied gross margin investment and less year on year help from its new cost savings target.

However, even on these reduced estimates Goldman said the stock is trading on a c.10% FY23-25e average free cash flow yield.

Goldman reiterated its buy rating.

Credit Suisse took a slightly more cautious view, keeping its hold rating but reducing its price target to 238p from 292p.

It said Tesco’s guidance suggested further margin pressures this year with a 20bps fall in EBIT margin expected in the second half of 2023 despite a positive impact forecast from Christmas sales.

Reflecting these pressures the broker said it has lowered its full year 2024 number for EBIT by 7.5%.

Keeping its hold rating Credit Suisse said it could see no significant near-term catalysts for the share price.

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