SP Angel . Morning View . Thursday 09 09 21
Base metal rally sends China’s factory gate inflation to 13-year high
ECB policy day with markets assessing potential taper
Pre-IPO financing opportunity for new gold mine development in Ghana
We are raising funds for an advanced gold project in Ghana with good upside exploration potential
The project offers potential to fast-track gold production using a low-cost heap leach.
Management are experienced and are looking to IPO within 18 months.
Please contact us if you are interested in pre-IPO funding of the opportunity
Chaarat Gold (LON:CGH) – Interim results highlight stronger commodity prices
Condor Gold* (LON:CNR) – PEA demonstrates robust economics for La India development
Empire Metals* (LON:EEE) – 2,140m RC drill programme commences at Central Menzies
Greatland Gold (LON:GGP) – Havieron continues to offer resource expansion potential
Lucara Diamonds (CVE:LUC) – Karowe underground expansion approved and fully-financed
VOX Markets: 09/09/21: https://audioboom.com/posts/7937881-john-meyer-on-afritin-cornish-metals-cora-gold-power-metals-shanta-gold-solgold
IGTV: 02/09/21: Chinese slowdown is ‘unlikely to be for long’: https://youtu.be/XuW2I6Z3-RU
Biden administration sets 40% solar goal for 2035
The Biden administration has stated that solar power could provide 40% of US electricity by 2035 – solar provides just 3% currently.
Solar is the fastest growing source of new electricity generation in the US, with 15GW installed in 2020 – the US Energy Information Administration (IEA) have forecast growth of 15.9GW in 2021 and 16.3GW in 2022.
The DoE’s solar study said that additions must hit 30GW a year in the next 5 years and 60GW a year between 2025 and 2030 to meet climate targets.
This rate of growth would bring cumulative US solar capacity to between 760GW and 1,000GW by 2035, up from about 80GW last year, the study said.
Production in the US would have to increase massively to achieve this target, especially as recent import bans on PV panels from several Chinese companies have been introduced due to concerns over forced labour.
An average solar panel of 2m2 uses around 20g of silver. We are working on how much silver this might require by 2035 on the current 10g/m2 rate.
Winter Olympics, Tangshan, China – may be causing iron ore prices to fall while steel prices rise
Traders may be destocking iron ore as the Hubei province enforces targeted steel production cuts of 21.7mt of steel for 2021
The trade may also start destocking iron ore in the run up to the Winter Olympics when Air Pollution levels will be more strictly enforced.
Air pollution in Tangshan should fall by at least 40% yoy in the run up to the Winter Olympics with the authorities expected to close much steel production (afr.com).
Tangshan is the largest steel making hub in the world making 8% of global production and 14% of Chinese output according to the CRU.
Tangshan steel mills turned out 144mt of steel last year indicating a cut of 12.4mt for 2021.
China would not want to see a repeat of images athletes wearing anti-pollution masks at the airport as happened with the Beijing Olympics, though Covid-19 masks will no-doubt be mandatory.
Base metal rally sends China’s factory gate inflation to 13-year high
A renewed optimism in base metals prices is gathering pace on strong fundamentals and increasing inflation worries.
Aluminium and nickel have hit 13-year and 8-year highs this week, respectively, on a robust long-term outlook linked to the clean energy transition and unprecedented infrastructure spending.
The Producer Price Index, reflecting prices that factories charge wholesalers for their products, rose by 9.5% in August from a year earlier and follows a 9% gain in July.
The surge in commodity prices, as well as heightened shipping costs, has sent China’s factory gate inflation soaring to a 13-year high, while figures due next week are expected to show US CPI rose by more than 5%.
Commodity prices have hurt the bottom lines of many mid- and downstream factories, and earnings at China’s industrial firms have slowed for five straight months.
Runaway metals prices may lead China to reassess its campaign to rein in prices following its campaign which included releasing state reserves into the market.
The statistics bureau blamed elevated steel, coal and chemicals prices for the inflation surge, indicating Beijing’s effort to cap raw material markers over the past months has had little effect.
As well as demand, Beijing’s pursuit of energy efficiency and lower emissions has squeezed manufacturers all down the supply chain and prevented ramp ups in production.
Chinese resource stocks jumped to six-year highs after the factory data was released, while an index tracking energy stocks jumped 5.6% to the highest level in more than three years and the CSI SWS Coal Index surged over 6%.
China – ramping up local government bond sales to reactivate construction
Chinese cement prices rose 6.8% in August to CNY405/t from CNY379/t at end July, though prices are still lower than the CNY450/t peak in May.
China Resources Cement Holdings shares rose 6% this week to HKD8.38
Sany, the world’s largest producer of excavators saw sales of concrete machinery rise 31% yoy through H1 2021 with a 39% yoy rise in excavators.
Total Chinese excavator sales rose 23.2% yoy from Jan-August but pulled back 13.7% in August according to the China Construction Machinery Association
Cement - Cement output in June 2021 down from June 2020
July 2021 cement output down from 2020 and 2019 figures.
Chinese Cement Association CCA has been complaining about impact of Beijing’s crackdown on residential property ‘speculation’ and may introduce standards for verifying CO2 emissions for imported cement.
But China is also expected to tackle cement production overcapacity to meet environmental targets which is likely to lead to a massive rise in cement imports.
Dow Jones Industrials -0.20% at 35,031
Nikkei 225 -0.57% at 30,008
HK Hang Seng -2.00% at 25,795
Shanghai Composite +0.36% at 3,689
Economics
China – Consumer inflation pulls back in August while factory gate price growth accelerates to a 13-year high adding pressure on global consumer prices.
A rally in commodity prices like coal, chemicals and steel is a major driver behind producer price inflation.
The data also highlights the fact that higher manufacturers’ input costs are not being passed onto a consumer signalling demand remains subdued.
CPI (%yoy): 0.8 v 1.0 in July and 1.0 est.
PPI (%yoy): 9.5 v 9.0 in July and 9.0 est.
ECB – September policy meeting day will be closely watched for indications over the potential scaling back of the massive pandemic-related stimulus.
The central bank has been buying €80bn of bonds each month using tis pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) to keep rates low and maintain the flow of credit.
PEPP capacity currently stands at €1,850bn with latest guidance from the central bank to continue net purchases until “the Covid-19 crisis phase is over, but in any case not before the end of March 2022”.
Analysts expect the ECB to announce a slowdown in bond purchases to about €60bn, FT writes.
Germany – Trade slowed in July with imports posting a surprise drop that likely highlights logistics challenges across the supply chain.
Exports (%mom): 0.5 v 1.3 in June and 0.1 est.
Imports (%mom): -3.8 v 0.7 (revised from 0.6) in June and 0.1 est.
UK – Parliament voted through the proposed National Insurance rate increase yesterday.
319 to 248 win in a House of Commons will see NHS and social care raising £12bn in additional funds each year.
West Africa – Bloc refrains from demanding Guinea leader’s return
West African leaders refrained from demanding that deposed Guinean President Alpha Conde be reinstated, and instead urged the military junta to return to the constitutional order.
The outcome of an Economic Community of West African States summit on Wednesdays lacked regional support for Conde, who returned to power in December after a controversial re-election.
The bloc dispatched the Ghanaian Foreign Minister to meet Guinea’s military rulers on Thursday, while urging them to free Conde who is being held in military barracks.
Guinea is the world’s largest exporter of bauxite, and this week’s coup has pushed aluminium prices to the highest level in 13 years.
The coup leaders have said publicly they will honour agreements with miners including Rio Tinto and Rusal who operate in the area.
Mining generates 90% of Guinea’s export revenue and about a quarter of its GDP.
Latin America – Construction activity set to take off in Latin America following massive shipment of excavators from China in July
Xuzhou Construction Machinery Group (XCMG) exported 972 units to South America in a single shipment in July representing China’s biggest single machinery export in past 5 years
The extraordinary scale of this shipment indicates a ramp up in construction activity in Latin America through the second half
This should lead to increasing sales of structural rebar and other steel.
Currencies
US$1.1814/eur vs 1.1835/eur yesterday. Yen 110.08/$ vs 110.37/$. SAr 14.243/$ vs 14.338/$. $1.377/gbp vs $1.376/gbp. 0.736/aud vs 0.737/aud. CNY 6.460/$ vs 6.464/$.
Commodity News
Precious metals:
Gold US$1,789/oz vs US$1,796/oz yesterday
Gold ETFs 99.8moz vs US$99.8moz yesterday
Platinum (AIM:ZERO) US$977/oz vs US$1,002/oz yesterday
Palladium US$2,262/oz vs US$2,367/oz yesterday
Silver US$23.87/oz vs US$24.28/oz yesterday
Base metals:
Copper US$ 9,368/t vs US$9,315/t yesterday
Aluminium US$ 2,837/t vs US$2,788/t yesterday
Nickel US$ 20,065/t vs US$19,745/t yesterday
Zinc US$ 3,072/t vs US$3,052/t yesterday
Lead US$ 2,272/t vs US$2,279/t yesterday
Tin US$ 32,750/t vs US$31,950/t yesterday
Energy:
Oil US$72.9/bbl vs US$72.1/bbl yesterday
Oil prices have opened up 1% in early trading today as US Gulf of Mexico producers made slow progress in restoring output after Hurricane Ida
Producers in the Gulf are still struggling to restart operations nine days after Ida swept through the region with powerful winds and rain
77% of US Gulf production remained offline yesterday, or c.1.4MMbopd
This translates to c.17.5MMbbls of oil lost to the market so far
The Gulf's offshore wells make up c.17% of US output
However, refinery operations appear to be making a quicker recovery
Capacity of 1MMbopd was temporarily closed, down from a peak of more than 2MMbopd according to Department of Energy
The EIA confirmed that it expected US crude oil production to fall by 200,000bopd to 11.08MMbopd in 2021, a bigger decline than its previous forecast for a drop of 160,000bopd
Prices were also supported as protesters in Libya blocked oil exports at Es Sider and Ras Lanuf
Meanwhile, the UN atomic watchdog criticised Iran for stonewalling an investigation into past activities and jeopardising important monitoring work, possibly complicating efforts to resume talks on reviving a nuclear deal
The negotiations between world powers and Iran have been paused for almost three months since the election of a new radical president in Iran, reducing prospects of Tehran being able to resume oil exports
Natural Gas US$4.924/mmbtu vs US$4.620/mmbtu yesterday
Bulk:
Iron ore 62% Fe spot (cfr Tianjin) US$130.7/t vs US$136.4/t
Chinese steel rebar 25mm US$832.6/t vs US$828.3/t
Thermal coal (1st year forward cif ARA) US$123.5/t vs US$121.8/t
Coking coal swap Australia FOB US$290.0/t vs US$290.0/t
China Ilmenite Concentrate TiO2 US$375.38/t vs US$375.2/t
Other:
Cobalt LME 3m US$50,840/t vs US$50,840/t
NdPr Rare Earth Oxide (China) US$92,336/t vs US$92,282/t
Lithium carbonate 99% (China) US$20,278/t vs US$19,802/t
China Spodumene Li2O 5%min CIF US$970/t vs US$960/t
Ferro-Manganese European Mn78% min US$1,825/t vs US$1,828/t
China Tungsten APT 88.5% FOB US$305/t vs US$305/t
China Graphite Flake -194 FOB US$535/t vs US$535/t
Europe Vanadium Pentoxide 98% 9.0/lb vs US$9.0/lb
Europe Ferro-Vanadium 80% 37.25/kg vs US$37.25/kg - Vanadium prices continue to fall in China
Vanadium prices continue to correct in China after a peak of CNY202,000/kgV ($40.6/kgV) prices have pulled back to around CNY170,000//kgV ($34/kgV).
We expect prices in China to rise again to follow renewed activity in construction and structural steel production as regional governments issue new bonds for financing.
Spot CO2 Emissions EUA Price US$73.3/t vs US$73.5/kg
Battery News
Company News
Chaarat Gold (LON:CGH) 22.7p, Mkt Cap £156m – Interim results highlight stronger commodity prices
Revenue came in at $48.1m (H1/20: $29.9m) reflecting stronger price environment for precious and base metals during the period as well as stronger contribution from processing of 3rd party material ($11.1 v nil in H1/20).
Kapan produced a total of 32.8koz GE including 25.9koz from own ore (H1/20: 27.1koz) and 6.9koz from third-party material (H1/20: 0.5koz).
Significantly increased third-party ore production of 70kt (H1/20: 10kt) contributing US$1.8 million to Kapan's EBITDA.
Operating profit amounted to $7.8m, compared to a loss of $5.1m the previous year.
EBITDA totalled $9.2m (H1/20: -$2.2m) including a $13.8m contribution from Kapan (H1/20: $4.1m).
Administrative and finance costs reduced significantly to $6.0m (H1/20: $9.7m) and $4.4m (H1/20: $8.0), respectively.
PAT totalled $1.4m (H1/20: -$13.5m).
Net operating cash flow was $3.0m (H1/20: $5.9m) after accounting for a $6.3m working capital cash outflow and $1.1m paid in taxes.
FCF came in at -$5.7m (H1/20: $0.1m) after accounting for $8.7m in capitalised equipment, development and exploration costs (H1/20: $5.8m).
Closing cash balance stood at $24.6m (H1/20: $6.9m) following a $52m funding completed in Feb/21 involving $30m in cash raise and $22m debt for equity conversion.
Total debt (incl leases) amounted to $52.6m (Dec/20: $78.0m) most of which is in the form of a Kapan acquisition related term loan (~$24m outstanding) and convertible notes (~$26m in convertible loan notes with a conversion price of 37p and due 31 Oct/21).
~$80m Tulkubash debt funding is being delayed and targeted to close H2/21-H1/22 as lenders await resolution regarding a conflict between the Kyrgyz government and the owner/operator of Kumtor mine.
At Kyzyltash, collection of metallurgical testing samples commenced in May/21 with testing to start in Q4/21.
The Company reiterated FY21 production guidance for 57koz GE.
Conclusion: Interims show stronger sales and earnings reflecting higher commodity prices. The Company reiterated annual guidance for 57koz GE while continuing a discussion with lenders over Tulkubash heap leach operation development funding that is being delayed amid an ongoing conflict between Kyrgyz government and Centerra. Additionally, the team is exploring options to refinance $26m worth of convertible bonds coming due end of next month.
Condor Gold* (LON:CNR) 42.5p, Mkt Cap £57m –PEA demonstrates robust economics for La India development
Condor Gold has announced the results of its Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for the development of its La India gold project in Nicaragua.
The study, prepared by SRK Consulting, considers two possible development routes;
A solely open-pit operation with development of the core La India pit and satellite pits at Mestiza, America and Central Breccia zones to produce a total of 1.225mtpa of ore over a period of 9 years with total gold production of 862,000oz; and
A larger, longer life operation with underground production from La India, Mestiza and America supplementing the open-pit production to deliver 1.4mtpa of ore over a period of 12 years and produce a total of 1.47moz of gold and an average of 150,000oz pa during the first 9 years.
The Base Case for the stand-alone open pit option requires US$153m of pre-production capital investment, delivers a life of mine all-in-sustaining cost (AISC) of gold production of US$813/oz and generates an after-tax NPV5% of US$236m and IRR of 48% at a relatively conservative long-term assumed gold price of US$1,550/oz.
Considering a higher gold price of US$1700/oz, which we observe is still below current levels, the NPV5% of the open pit development option increases by almost 30% to US$302m with a10% higher IRR of 58%
Open pit production will use mining contractors and hence incur minimal capital expenditure requirements.
Almost 80% of the planned open-pit ore production (8.3m of the total 10.6m t) is expected to come from the La India pit at an overall waste:ore ratio of approximately 9.6 with contributions of higher-grade ore coming from the smaller pits at higher stripping ratios.
The option including underground production requires US$160m of initial capital with underground development funded from cash flow and delivers a life of mine AISC of 958/oz and an after-tax NPV5% of US$312m and IRR of 43% at the base case gold price.
Condor Gold’s analysis shows that at the higher gold price of US$1,700/oz the NPV of the combined open-pit and underground operation rises by 34% to US$418m at an IRR of 54%.
Both cases deliver payback within 1 year.
The capital and operating costs are estimated at the customary level of ±40-50% for a PEA level study and based on indicative quotations from two open-pit mining contractors in conjunction with SRK’s in-house and industry databases.
Chairman and CEO, Mark Child explained that “The open pit mine schedules have been optimised from designed pits, bringing higher grade gold forward resulting in average annual production of 157,000 oz gold in the first 2 years from open pit material and underground mining funded out of cashflow”.
The announcement describes the water management measures required in an area “subject to intense rainfall events … [and with] … a river currently … [flowing]… through the proposed La India pit footprint” with US$8.1m in the case of the open pit development and US$19.2m in the mixed open-pit and underground plan included within the capital cost estimates to mitigate “the effects of the river … [which] …is a significant consideration with respect to the viability of the Project”.
Tailings storage capacity of 7.6Mm3 is required at a capital cost of US$24.85mm for the open pit development with total capacity of 11.2Mm3 needed at a cost of US$31.17m in the case of a combined open-pit and underground mining operation.
Recent resource drilling “at the La India open pit, the resource infill drilling programme currently being conducted at the Mestiza open pit and resource expansion drilling being conducted on the Cacao deposit … at the La India open pit, the resource infill drilling programme currently being conducted at the Mestiza open pit and resource expansion drilling being conducted on the Cacao deposit will be incorporated in a further MRE (mineral resources estimate) update and that this will support the development of a Feasibility Study”.
Although at this stage, and with resource estimation and other technical work continuing, the company is not definitively indicating which of the two development routes it prefers, sensitivity tables for the economic returns of each option at a range of gold prices presented in today’s announcement indicate that at gold prices in excess of approximately US$1,265/oz, the mixture of open-pit and underground mining delivers the superior economic return.
We note, however, that the announcement leads with the combined open-pit and underground mining plan providing an insight into the company’s thinking.
We also comment more generally that, the wider La India project is likely to contain mineralisation more appropriately developed through underground mining, as perhaps at the Cacao zone where recent drilling is providing geological evidence of a potentially fully preserved epithermal gold system extending to depth. Consequently, we favour the development of site specific underground mining expertise at a relatively early stage as we consider that it may prove beneficial as the project grows.
As is standard procedure for NI-43-101 technical reports, the “2021 PEA Technical Report will be issued within 45 days of the public disclosure” providing the opportunity to consider the details of production and financial profiles and implementation plans. We look forward the opportunity to review the detail.
Conclusion: Condor Gold has released the conclusions of its PEA for the La India project demonstrating the economic viability of both a plan for a combined open-pit and underground mine development and a plan based on open pit mining of La India and key satellite pits. Further, more advanced feasibility study work, including the incorporation of recent drilling into an updated mineral resource estimate is underway. We consider that the combined open-pit and underground option is the more likely development route as, with cash flow from initial open pit mining funding the underground development, it delivers a superior economic return under most likely gold price projections.
*SP Angel act as a broker to Condor Gold
Empire Metals* (LON:EEE) 1.83p, Mkt cap £6.1m – 2,140m RC drill programme commences at Central Menzies
Empire reports that it has begun a drill programme of 26 holes for a total of 2,140m at the Central Menzies Gold Project.
Drilling is to target two prospects, both along strike from the Yunndaga deposit, historically the largest gold mine in the Menzies field with over 270,000oz produced.
A review of historical data indicated several prospects within the project area, two of which are to be prioritised in this campaign – known as Teglio and Nugget Patch.
A Teglio, Empire has planned 13 RC holes for 1,100m, testing a strike length of 520m.
At Nugget Patch, a further 13 RC holes for 1,040m are planned.
Further drilling targets are expected to be generated within the Project area once geochemical soil sampling results are received, with soil samples targeting areas of greatest prospectivity based on the location of historical workings as well as areas of limited previous drilling.
Shaun Bunn, MD, commented: “we remain on schedule and budget to complete the RC drilling campaign and remain confident that the exploration programme envisaged under the current Option Agreement will meet its objectives.”
*SP Angel act as Nomad and Broker to Empire Metals
Greatland Gold (LON:GGP) 18.55p, Mkt Cap £745m – Havieron continues to offer resource expansion potential
Greatland Gold reports that recent drilling at its Havieron project in the Paterson province, Western Australia, continues to show opportunities for resource expansion beneath the Crescent Zone and around the Northern Breccia Zone.
The company confirms that, since Newcrest Mining started exploration to earn it a 70% interest in the project, a total of 194,456m of drilling has been completed.in 230 drill-holes.
In late 2020, the company released an initial inferred resource estimate of 52mt at an average grade of 2.0g/t gold (3.4moz) and 0.31% copper with 18mt at an average grade of 3.8g/t gold (2.2m0z) and 0.61% copper within the Crescent Zone plus an additional 34mt at an average grade of 1.1g/t gold (1.2moz) and 0.15% copper in the adjacent Breccia Zone
Today’s announcement highlights:
An intersection of 133m within the South East Crescent and Breccia zone at an average grade of 7.0g/t gold and 0.05% copper from a depth of 1446m in hole HAD-133W1 including 55.9m averaging 9.7g/t gold and 0.04% copper from 1449.5m depth; and
A 29.1m wide intersection of the Northern Breccia zone at an average grade of 9.7g/t gold and 0.29% copper from a depth of 813.2m in hole HAD-140; and
An 87.1m wide intersection, also of the Northern Breccia zone, at an average grade of 1.8g/t gold and 0.05% copper from a depth of 1,328m in hole HAD-141 which includes 17.8m averaging 5.7g/t gold and 0.14% copper from 1,378.5m depth; and
Intersections of both the South East Crescent zone and the Northern Breccia zone, which is located to the north-west of the current resource, in Hole HAD-057W7. The hole intersected 23m of the South East Crescent zone at an average grade of 5.7g/t gold and 0.70% copper from a depth of 613m and included 15m averaging 8.6g/t gold and 0.96% copper from 613m depth and 70m of the Northern Breccia zone averaging 2.2g/t gold and 0.03% copper from a depth of 906m with a higher grade portion of 12.8m averaging 5.3g/t gold and 0.02% copper from 962.7m.
The company confirms that it has completed a further eight holes in the current programme of expansion drilling as well as 10 infill holes within the South East Crescent zone and is awaiting assay results.
In addition, Greatland Gold confirms progress on the exploration decline which has now advanced over 120m.
CEO, Shaun Day, said that the “results have once again extended known mineralisation below the main South East Crescent zone and to the north-west in the Northern Breccia, adding further scale and value to the Havieron orebody … [and] … ” significantly enhanced our understanding of the orebody and the likelihood of delivering an upgrade to the Mineral Resource Estimate in the near-term”.
Conclusion: Recent infill and expansion drilling at Havieron continues to demonstrate the potential for resource expansion with the company indicating that a revision of the current 2020 inferred resources estimate is likely before long. We await it with interest.
Lucara Diamonds (CVE:LUC) C$0.70, Mkt Cap C$317m – Karowe underground expansion approved and fully-financed
Lucara Diamonds’ Board has formally approved plans to develop underground mining at its Karowe diamond mine in Botswana.
The company announced, in August, that the project capital estimate was US$534m to “be met with funds from a combination of the Facilities, the projected cash flows from the Karowe open pit mine during the underground construction period, and the equity financings totaling C$41.4 million closed July 15 … resulting in the UGP being fully financed.”
The company reports it has already progressed the development with pre-sinking of the ventilation shafts having reached a depth of 17m and mobilisation of the remaining equipment to site and “Civil work on the remaining ventilation and production shaft infrastructure is progressing well, with mobilization of temporary generators and civils works associated with the generator pad completed”.
Recent Interviews:
IGTV: Chinese slowdown is ‘unlikely to be for long’: https://youtu.be/XuW2I6Z3-RU
Mining sector: where now as Gates & Bezos move in?: https://youtu.be/3is7kRMb7yk
China fearing failure in metals pricing tactic: https://youtu.be/RK4HQPrs60s
Evolution of Chinese construction and implications for commodity demand: https://youtu.be/jB2nURL8uPw
VOX Markets: 09/09/21: https://audioboom.com/posts/7937881-john-meyer-on-afritin-cornish-metals-cora-gold-power-metals-shanta-gold-solgold
02/09/21: https://audioboom.com/posts/7933954-john-meyer-on-china-bluerock-cornish-metals-ironridge-scotgold
18/08/21: https://audioboom.com/posts/7926110-john-meyer-on-diamonds-gold-including-bluerock-petra-cora
BBC: Catalytic converters https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p09jl6c9
*SP Angel almost invariably acts as nomad or broker or nomad and broker to companies mentioned in the above videos and podcasts.
We speak more about these companies as we have a good understanding of their business and can talk with a greater degree of confidence. As ever, however, it should be noted that our views do not take into account the circumstances and needs of any particular investor or investor type. So enjoy the talks, but please do your own research, including other companies not mentioned by us but operating in the same areas, and get professional advice where appropriate.
No.1 in Copper: “The winner of the 2020 Fastmarkets Apex contest for copper was the team at SP Angel comprising John Meyer, Sergey Raevskiy and Simon Beardsmore, with an accuracy score of 93.8%”
No1. In Gold: “SP Angel’s trio took the top spot for the gold price prediction throughout the year, with an accuracy score of 97.59%”
The SP Angel team also ranked 1st in Palladium, 3rd in Tin and 5th in Silver in the fourth quarter of 2020
Analysts
John Meyer – John.Meyer@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0490
Simon Beardsmore – Simon.Beardsmore@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0484
Sergey Raevskiy –Sergey.Raevskiy@spangel.co.uk - 0203 470 0474
Joe Rowbottom – Joe.Rowbottom@spangel.co.uk - 0203 470 0486
Sales
Richard Parlons –Richard.Parlons@spangel.co.uk - 0203 470 0472
Abigail Wayne – Abigail.Wayne@spangel.co.uk - 0203 470 0534
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Grant Barker – Grant.Barker@spangel.co.uk – 0203 470 0471
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*SP Angel are the No1 integrated nomad and broker by number of mining brokerage clients on AIM according to the AIM Advisers Ranking Guide (joint brokerships excluded)
+SP Angel employees may have previously held, or currently hold, shares in the companies mentioned in this note.
Sources of commodity prices
Gold, Platinum, Palladium, Silver
BGNL (Bloomberg Generic Composite rate, London)
Gold ETFs, Steel
Bloomberg
Copper, Aluminium, Nickel, Zinc, Lead, Tin, Cobalt
LME
Oil Brent
ICE
Natural Gas, Uranium, Iron Ore
NYMEX
Thermal Coal
Bloomberg OTC Composite
Coking Coal
SSY
RRE
Steelhome
Lithium Carbonate, Ferro Vanadium, Tungsten, Spodumene, Ferro-Manganese, Graphite
Asian Metal