- FTSE 100 index closes nearly 90 points higher
- US ISM manufacturing index recover to 43.1 in May from 41.5 in April
- US stocks higher but more tentative
5.15pm: FTSE 100 finishes higher
FTSE 100 index closed higher on Monday as traders appeared buoyant on the prospect of the economic world returning to some kind of normal.
Britain's blue chip index finished up nearly 90 points, or 1.48%, at 6,166. The FTSE 250 gained over 234 points, or 1.38% on the day. Wall Street shares also went higher, though more tentatively.
Manufacturing and services reports from China in recent days have also been well received, boosting boosted stocks, noted analyst David Madden at CMC Markets.
"....European dealers took some comfort in that seeing as China was the first country to go into lockdown, and in turn, it was the first to emerge from lockdown, so some people are hoping that Europe will undergo a similar recovery," he said in a note.
Across the Pond, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 46 points at 25,429 on the day, while the S&P 500 added around five at 3,049.
Among the Footsie's top gainers was Primark owner Associated British Foods PLC (LON:ABF) as traders took comfort from the prospect of the clothes retailer opening again on June 15, albeit with 80% of floor space in use. Shares soared 8.02% to 1,967p.
3.45pm: US ISM manufacturing index recovers in May
The US faces a long road to recovery, reckons ING, commenting after the release of the US ISM index.
The ISM manufacturing index recovered to 43.1 in May from 41.5 in April and while all the important sub-components, such as production, new orders and employment, all improved “they continue to tell a very painful story”, according to James Knightley, the chief international economist at ING.
“During the global financial crisis the headline ISM index bottomed at 34.5 (December 2008) so hitting a low of “only” 41.5 in April doesn’t seem all that terrible. In the current crisis though the headline is being artificially inflated by the supplier delivery times component, which even after dipping back this month, is still up at 68.0,” Knightley noted.
The rise in supplier delivery times is because lockdowns and temporary factory closures have disrupted supply chains, and that will hamper the ability of factories to restart production.
“This is obviously very bad, yet it is still boosting the headline ISM index,” Knightley underlined.
In the UK, the mood was a bit more cheery, with the FTSE 100 up 77 points (1.3%) at 6,154.
3.15pm: US indices perk up after IHS Markit PMI reading
The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit final US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) posted 39.8 in May, up from 36.1 in April.
The latest figure signalled the second-steepest deterioration in manufacturing operating conditions since April 2009.
“Manufacturing remained in a deep downturn in May, as measures taken to contain the spread of COVID-19 continued to cause production losses, disrupt supply chains and hit demand. Job losses meanwhile continued to run at one of the highest rates in over a decade, and pricing power has collapsed,” said Chris Williamson, the chief business economist at IHS Markit, which compiles the index.
May's IHS Markit US Manufacturing PMI revealed another downturn in business conditions for the sector. Production continued to fall sharply amid a further reduction in demand.— IHS Markit PMI™ (@IHSMarkitPMI) June 1, 2020
Read more: https://t.co/9a270EYj7A pic.twitter.com/olQ3DwJAz4
“With increasing numbers of companies restarting production, we should see some improvements in the output trend in coming months, and it was reassuring to see signs of the downturn already starting to ease in May, suggesting April was the eye of the storm as far as the production collapse is concerned.
“There remains a high risk that any recovery will be frustratingly slow as ongoing social distancing measures, high unemployment, job insecurity and damaged balance sheets constrain consumer and business spending. The recovery will of course also fade quickly if virus infections start to rise again,” he cautioned.
US indices perked up on the release of the data with the Dow up 34 points (0.1%) at 25,417 and the S&P 500 up 4 points (0.1%) at 3,048.
In the UK, the FTSE 100 was up 74 points (1.2%) at 6,151.
With fears of a trade war between the US and China waning, investors have been moving back into Standard Charttered PLC (LON:STAN), the Asia-focused bank. The stock was up 7.6% at 396.6p and the second-best performing constituent of the Footsie.
2.50pm: US indices off to a mixed start
US indices got off to a mixed start, slightly out of step with global markets.
The Dow Jones 30-share industrial average was off 42 points (0.2%) at 25,341 but the S&P 500 was practically unchanged at 3,044 while the NASDAQ Composite was up 14 points (0.2%) at 9,503.
In London, last week’s firmer trend (if we overlook Friday’s dip) has continued, with the FTSE 100 index up 65 points (1.1%) at 6,141.
“Markets have now recovered close to two-thirds of their losses,” observed Rupert Thompson, the chief investment officer at wealth management group Kingswood, referring to the market’s rally from its coronavirus panic low point.
“Near term, the positive news flow could continue and the rally may have a bit to further run. Investors who have not participated so far may be sucked into the market for fear of missing out. Longer-term, however, we continue to believe the market has rather got ahead of itself.
“Certainly, markets have recovered quicker than is normal in the early stages of a bull market. Global equities are now up over 30% from their lows over the space of little more than two months. In the past, the average gain has been around 20% over the first three months, with it usually taking six months to see a rebound of 30%,” Thompson noted.
“The scope for further gains later in the year is looking increasingly limited. Indeed, the danger of a correction remains as a rapid return to normality looks unlikely unless a vaccine is developed sooner rather than later. As government support schemes for individuals and companies are wound down over coming months, the damage done to both by the collapse in activity will become evident and is likely to hamper the recovery,” he suggested.
For now, however, the bulls are in the ascendancy and prepared to move back into travel-related stocks such as cruises operator Carnival PLC (LON:CCL) and British Airways owner International Consolidated Airlines (LON:IAG) as lockdown restrictions are relaxed.
The former is up 5.6% at 1,117p and the latter is 5.3% firmer at 240.5p.
1.20pm: Optimistic mood returns
Global markets got off to a positive start to the week as fears of an escalation in the US-China trade war diminished.
The FTSE 100 was up 53 points (0.9%) at 6,130.
“If marginally less upbeat than at the start of the session, the European markets nevertheless remained strong on Monday, expressing their relief that Donald Trump didn’t tank the US-China trade deal last Friday,” commented Spreadex’s Connor Campbell.
“What makes the gains extra notable is that they come despite Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian telling reporters that ‘any words or actions by the US that harm China’s interests will meet with China’s firm counterattack’.
“Instead investors are focusing on the fact that Trump didn’t announce anything more damaging last well, as well as the fact the Chinese Caixin manufacturing PMI bounced back into expansion territory in May, hitting 50.7,” he added.
“The Dow Jones is currently set to add just 60 points when the bell rings on Wall Street, pushing it back to 25450. Whether or not it gains steam is going to be based on a few things, namely: a) the state of the Markit and ISM manufacturing PMIs, b) if there is any Trumpdate on the US-China situation, and c) how seriously investors are paying attention to America’s civil unrest,” Campbell opined.
12.35pm: Sterling hardens as Brexit returns to the agenda
Despite sterling have a good morning against the US dollar, investors have piled into blue-chips.
The FTSE 100 was up 76 points (1.3%) at 6,153 even as sterling rose by almost a third of a cent to US$1.2380 on foreign exchange markets at the start of a week in which Brexit is going to be back on the agenda.
“Brexit is back in the spotlight this week as the UK and EU sit down for another round of virtual talks but there’s little to suggest we should expect any real progress,” said James Smith, the economist covering developed markets at ING.
“Regardless of whether a free-trade agreement is signed, we should expect big changes in the way the UK trades with the EU. Even with an FTA [free trade agreement] in place, there will still be regulatory checks on goods passing across the channel, and these can be particularly intrusive for agricultural products and these agreements also typically do very little for services.
“That implies some initial disruption to supply chains is inevitable, and the risk of this coinciding with a renewed COVID-19 outbreak over winter months risks putting the brakes on the economic recovery,” Smith added.
“Ted’s in a difficult position at the moment, and seems to have reached the limit of its bankers’ willingness to lend money at acceptable rates. This has led the group to issue new shares at a steep discount to an already badly beaten up price. Management tried to strike an optimistic tone when laying out their plans for the brand’s future, but this feels like the last throw of the dice to us," said William Ryder, an equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
In other retail news, cosmetics firm Warpaint PLC (LON:WL7) was up 16% at 66p after it unveiled a deal that will see a number of its products stocked by the wilko chain.
11.45am: Morning of progress for the FTSE 100
The FTSE 100 was up 70 points (1.2%) at 6,147 after shrugging off the May UK manufacturing purchase managers' index.
"The manufacturing PMI rose to 40.7 in May (revised up marginally from the “flash” reading of 40.6) after falling to a record low of 32.6 in April from 47.8 in March," reported Howard Archer, the chief economic adviser to the EY ITEM Club.
“Output contracted despite the sub-index rising appreciably from April’s record low. Similarly, new orders contracted in May, but the rate of decline did at least moderate from the sharpest drop in the survey’s history seen in April. This applied to export orders as well.
“Weakness was reported across the consumer, investment and intermediate sectors. However, there were some pockets of growth, primarily related to healthcare or PPE. Companies restarting business was also reported to have led to some inflows of business," he added.
10.35am: UK manufacturing industry still in bad shape
Continued supply chain disruptions resulted in another strong contraction in the manufacturing sector, according to the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply (CIPS).
Duncan Brock, the group director of CIPS, said output in May fell at its fourth-fastest rate in the near 30-year survey history.
The May revision to the UK manafacturing purchasing manager’s index was little different to the flash estimate – moving to 40.7 from 40.6.
???????? UK Manufacturing #PMI rises to 40.7 in May (April: 32.6) to signal a further sharp downturn, but the pace of contraction eases from April's record. Output, new orders and employment all fell sharply again amid #COVID-19 restrictions. Read more: https://t.co/ety9bOTOmZ pic.twitter.com/dcI0JrUAXM— IHS Markit PMI™ (@IHSMarkitPMI) June 1, 2020
“With new orders from home and abroad drying up for the third month in a row, company owners watched helplessly as the result of factory shutdowns, raw material shortages and furloughed staff continued to eat away at their operations. With no new pipeline of work to fulfil, purchasing dropped at one of the fastest rates for three decades as companies focussed their attention on completing any work in hand with current stocks of materials and with what little capacity remained in factories,” Brock said.
“Worries over safety for returning staff and repairs to broken supply chains will be uppermost in business minds, and are obstacles to be overcome before real recovery can begin. Uncertainty remains the watchword for the months ahead,” he added.
The FTSE 100 was up 60 points (1.0%) at 6,137.
10.00am: Minor revision to May manufacturing PMI
The IHS Markit/CIPS UK manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for May was revised marginally upwards from the flash estimate.
The PMI reading was revised to 40.7 from the flash estimate of 40.6, and was up from 32.6 in April. A level below 50 indicates a contraction in activity.
“Those who typically see the glass half empty will note that the UK manufacturing sector remained mired in its deepest downturn in recent memory. Output, new orders and employment fell sharply again in May as restrictions to combat the spread of COVID-19 caused further widespread disruptions to economic activity, demand and global supply chains,” said IHS Markit’s Rob Dobson.
“However, the glass-half-full perspective is one where the rate of contraction has eased considerably since April, meaning – absent a resurgence of infections – the worst of the production downturn may be behind us. Pressure on manufacturers should ease further as lockdown restrictions are loosened, customers return to work and global activity restarts,” Dobson said, adding that the UK seems “set for a drawn-out economic recovery”.
The FTSE 100 was up 59 points (1.0%) at 6,135.
9.30am: Mounting trade tensions take the gloss off the Footsie's flying start
Blue-chips in London have come off the top on reports that China is to stop importing some US soya beans.
The FTSE 100, which flew out of the traps to hit 6,177 early doors, was up 55 points (0.9%) at 6,131.
The Footsie’s advance was spearheaded by Associated British Foods PLC (LON:ABF), which was up 6.4% at 1,937.5p after it said early trading indicators from the recently re-opened Primark stores have been both “reassuring and encouraging”.
8.30am: Positive start to the week
The FTSE 100 was in bounce-back territory in early trade on Monday after Friday’s triple-digit losses, buoyed by a positive start to the trading week in Asia.
The index of UK blue-chips opened 81 points to the good at 6,157.43.
The positivity was provided by President Trump, who opted for a restrained and considered response to Beijing’s clampdown on Hong Kong.
The Hang Seng provided the pull for the rest of the world with index staging a relief rally that bumped it up 3%.
Closer to home, British Airways owner IAG (LON:IAG) flew to the top of the UK blue-chip index with a 5.6% gain after the Lufthansa board accepted amendments to its proposed bail-out, paving the way for industry-wide state aid.
easyJet (LON:EZJ), up 4.4%, followed in IAG’s vapour trails.
After several days of heavy selling activity after the downgrade of its bonds to junk status, Rolls Royce (LON:RR.) received a little love with its shares nudging 3.8% higher.
The miners, led by Anglo American (LON:AAL), were in demand early on as the latest batch of data from China pointed to a poor but not disastrous economic performance in May for the world’s second-largest economy.
Remember, the fortunes of the natural resources firms are closely allied to the state of the Chinese construction sector.
Proactive news headlines:
Zoetic International PLC (LON:ZOE) said it has signed a multi-state distribution agreement with a new partner, BettermentRS, to market its Chill brand of cannabidiol (CBD) products. The cannabis products firm said the deal, which will see BettermentRS distribute Chill products among its network of outlets, is the latest development from Zoetic’s partnership with US firm Ox Distributing.
IQ-AI Limited (LON:IQAI) shares climbed on Monday after the company’s subsidiary, Imaging Biometrics (IB), was awarded a US$2.57mln, five-year grant from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) – National Cancer Institute (NCI). The company said the funding will begin on July 1 with the primary purpose of optimising and validating multi-vendor quantitative perfusion tolls for the prediction of brain tumour response to therapy on a patient-specific basis.
Strategic Minerals PLC (LON:SML) has been awarded US$21.9mln in damages and costs, exclusive of additional interest. The decision of the arbitrator relates to a dispute centred around the company’s Cobre magnetite operation. The award comprises liquidated damages of US$4.2mln loss of profits of US$14mln, punitive damages of US$3.6mln, and arbitration costs of US$23,660.
Feedback PLC (LON:FDBK) has revealed that Bleepa, its flagship imaging-based medical communications platform has achieved a CE Mark for Europe. Feedback said its directors' believe Bleepa, which allows clinicians to access medical-grade images through smartphones, tablets and desktops, is the only communication platform to address the UK market that has met Medical Devices Directive certification requirements. In a statement, Tom Oakley, the chief executive officer of Feedback said: "We believe that Bleepa is the future for communicating about patient care and is already changing the way in which clinicians discuss cases and process patients through the hospital system. The CE mark is an important milestone in its commercialisation and sets Feedback apart from other providers."
Thor Mining PLC (LON:THR)(ASX:THR) has entered into an exclusive option to acquire 100% of the shares in American Vanadium Pty Ltd, a private Australian company, with interests in uranium and vanadium focussed projects in Colorado and Utah in the United States of America. The company is also raising A$970,000 to facilitate the deal, including A$130,000 from Metal Tiger PLC (LON:MTR). American Vanadium Pty Ltd has 100% interests in 199 contiguous claims in the Uravan Mineral Belt in south-western Colorado, and 100 claims in south-eastern Utah approximately 40km north of the town of Moab.
Bahamas Petroleum Company PLC (LON:BPC) has posted full-year results highlighting the explorer’s relatively strong financial performance, as it awaits a hotly anticipated drill programme that was delayed amid the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Financial results for the twelve months ended December 31, 2019, confirmed BPC finished 2019 with US$11.2mln of cash. Subsequently, the company has further supported its funding position with an £8mln financing facility with a Bahamian private family office investor and the establishment of a separate Bahamian domiciled mutual fund to specifically investing BPC shares.
Tissue Regenix Group PLC (LON:TRX) said its OrthoPure XT product has been awarded a CE mark following a single-arm, non-comparative, prospective study undertaken over three years. The regenerative medical devices specialist said the CE mark has been awarded for revision of the anterior cruciate ligament following re-rupture and also permits use for the reconstruction of other knee ligaments, including multi-ligament procedures following trauma.
Braveheart Investment Group PLC (LON:BRH) said its subsidiary, Paraytec, and Sheffield University are to press ahead with the development of a proposed rapid coronavirus (COVID-19) test. The fund management and strategic investment group first alerted the market to the potential collaboration on 6 May when the Aptamer Group was also in the mix as a project participant; the project will continue without Aptamer’s involvement, Braveheart said.
AFC Energy PLC (LON:AFC) has announced it is to test its alkaline H-Power fuel cell technology at one of construction group ACCIONA's sites in Spain. ACCIONA is one of Spain's renewable energy leaders as well as being a construction group and is looking at ways to decarbonise construction across Europe, said AFC. Diesel generation from construction sites is a significant contributor to poor air quality, said AFC, and is likely to be increasingly regulated and enforced by governments. The trial will take place in early 2021 with both hydrogen and ammonia used for comparative fuel evaluation.
Faron Pharmaceuticals Oy (LON:FARN, First North:FARON) has said it will share previously published clinical data on its lead cancer drug at a leading industry conference. Safety and efficacy results from the MATINS trial are to be shared at the American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which is being held as a virtual event this year. The ASCO presentation will show Faron’s precision cancer immunotherapy Clevegen was well-tolerated without ‘dose-limiting toxicities’. A total of 30 people with advanced solid tumours who had exhausted all standard options took part in the first part of the phase I/II MATINS trial. The company said recruitment for part II was underway with patients undeterred by the coronavirus outbreak. Being assessed at three different dose levels are groups with nine different cancers and three separate colorectal cohorts.
OptiBiotix Health PLC’s (LON:OPTI) ProBiotix Health business has inked a distribution deal in the UK that will help expand the market for two of its key products. The non-exclusive agreement with Cambridge Commodities (CCL) covers the speciality ingredient LPLDL and the finished dietary supplement CholBiomex3 CCL is a supplier of nutritional ingredients to major UK retailers and supplement companies. OptiBiotix said the tie-up extends the commercial reach of LPLDL into new application areas where CCL has “specific sector expertise”, such as food and beverage, sports nutrition, health & wellbeing and beauty.
PowerHouse Energy Group PLC (LON:PHE), the waste-to-energy technology company, said it knows of no reason for the recent share price surge. The company said due diligence and legal work on the proposed acquisition of Waste2Tricity (W2T) are nearing completion. The Protos project, the first targeted commercial application of the company’s waste plastic to hydrogen regeneration technology is proceeding under the direction of Peel L&P.
W Resources PLC (LON:WRES) generated €365,000 in operating revenue in the year to December 31, 2019, up from €219,000 the previous year. The company delivered a loss for the year of just under €3mln, as it began to build up a head of steam at its tungsten operations in Spain and Portugal. There was €2.46mln in the bank at the year-end.
Mkango Resources Ltd (LON:MKA)(CVE:MKA) has donated a new state of the art Mindray WATO EX-20 anaesthetic machine to the Mercy James Centre at the Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital in Blantyre, Malawi. The new anaesthetic machine will help enable the Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital to set up a new operating theatre for emergency operations, specifically for patients who are suspected of having the coronavirus.
Amur Minerals Corporation (LON:AMC) has revealed that individual copper and nickel sulphide concentrates can be generated from ore at its Kun-Manie project in Russia. From the projected six million processed ore tonnes per annum, 39,300 tonnes of copper concentrate is likely to be created, with an average copper grade of 23.4%. The test-work post-dates the February 2019 pre-feasibility study, wherein the base case all-metal concentrate derived revenues from payable nickel only.
Galileo Resources PLC (LON:GLR) has raised £900,000 in a share placing, selling 112.5mln shares priced at 0.8p each. The proceeds will provide working capital, supporting the company as it advances towards a programme of exploration at the newly acquired copper-nickel-platinum group metal licences in the Kalahari Copper Belt, Botswana, along with the Star Zinc and Kashitu projects in Zambia.
6.15am: FTSE 100 tipped to open higher
The FTSE 100 looks set to make a positive start to the week, drawing comfort from the fact Washington stopped short of a full-blown escalation of the trade war with China over Hong Kong.
Shares in Asia rallied to three-month highs with the Hang Seng leading the way with a 3.4% gain after the US said it would simply revoke special trading privileges for the former British colony.
Many commentators had expected President Donald Trump to hit back at a Beijing’s move to impose new security laws on Hong Kong with much tougher action.
“Just because Donald Trump didn’t go head to head with the Chinese government over trade, doesn’t mean he won’t at a later date,” cautioned David Madden of CMC Markets.
“After all, he has an election to contest at the back end of the year, so he might turn on China then to try and score political points.”
Sentiment may later in the trading day hinge on purchasing managers data both here in Britain, mainland Europe and in the US, which provide some further guide to the level of deterioration in business confidence on both sides of the Atlantic.
Looking at the week ahead, the corporate news diary is chocked full of mid-caps after the recent deluge of blue-chips.
Significant events expected on Monday:
Finals: Sirius Real Estate Ltd (LON:SRE)
Economic data: UK manufacturing PMI, US manufacturing PMI
Around the markets:
- Pound worth US$1.2377, up 0.28%
- Gold changing hands for US$1,758.40, up US$6.70;
- Brent crude costs US$37.63 a barrel, down 27 cents
- UK banks warn 40%-50% of ‘bounce back’ borrowers will default
- Celltrion shares soar on Covid-19 test results
- UK review of Huawei eyes impact of US sanctions
- Regulators and accountants set for ‘going concern’ hit to markets
- Red-wall towns worst hit by lockdown job losses
- Devolution is ‘a mess’ that jeopardises growth plans
- Confidence improves but consumers still fearful about personal finances
- Games industry booms amid lockdown
- Mining giants Petropavlovsk and UGC explore merger
- Tough new takeover rules could rein in foreign swoops on UK tech
- Lookers to announce findings of fraud investigation this week
- UK manufacturing leaders call for emergency bailout
- Trafigura reportedly investigated for alleged corruption, market manipulation