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Chinese Nuclear Stockpile Clouds Prospects for U.S.-Russia Deal

Russian officials say they want the current agreement extended for the allowed five years beyond its 2021 expiration. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told reporters last month that that the U.S. continues to insist China be brought into negotiations, a message he said Secretary of State Michael Pompeo delivered to him at the annual United Nations General Assembly meetings.

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Comments of the Day

19 October 2019

 

 

Big Picture Long Term October 18th 2019

 

Eoin Treacy's view

A link to this week's Big Picture Long-Term video is posted in the Subscriber's Area.

 

 

Mysterious

Thanks to a subscriber for this memo from Howard Marks which may be of interest. Here is a section:

 

Eoin Treacy's view

A link to the full report is posted in the Subscriber's Area. 

I suspect the changes in how the time value of money is considered, resulting from negative interest rates, is one of the most interesting topics in the market today. We are accustomed to thinking about how money loses value through devaluation and inflation but never give any thought to the value of time. Futures and options traders need to consider the time value of money because their contracts pressing maturity profiles. However, when there is no maturity, such as with property, art, collectibles or private equity the time value of money takes on a completely different meaning.

 

 

Cloud Set to Drive a New "Roaring 20s" Defined by Big Productivity Improvements

Thanks to a subscriber for this report from Oppenheimer which may be of interest. Here is a section:

 

Eoin Treacy's view

A link to the full report is posted in the Subscriber's Area. 

I received a service call from Bloomberg this morning while I was reading this report and it occurred to me that I worked for a cloud company all those years ago and didn’t even know it. Back in the early 2000s Bloomberg insisted on dedicated lines before they would install a terminal. The system required the bandwidth to pump real-time prices and calculations through to the end user. Those calculators sat on the company’s servers rather than the desktop which is effectively what cloud computing is.

 

 

Chinese Nuclear Stockpile Clouds Prospects for U.S.-Russia Deal

This article by David Wainer for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section:

Russian officials say they want the current agreement extended for the allowed five years beyond its 2021 expiration. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told reporters last month that that the U.S. continues to insist China be brought into negotiations, a message he said Secretary of State Michael Pompeo delivered to him at the annual United Nations General Assembly meetings.

But Moscow says time is running out. Negotiations for a new deal would typically take as long as a year. Even settling on an extension would be lengthy.

“We urge our American colleagues not to lose time anymore,” Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said in an interview with Russia’s International Affairs journal. “There’s almost none left. Simply letting this treaty die would be unforgivable. This will be perceived by the international community as neglecting one of the key pillars of international security.”

Despite American efforts, Beijing has so far balked at trilateral talks, arguing it is far behind Moscow and Washington, which together hold more than 90% of the world’s nuclear weapons.

“China has no interest in participating in a nuclear-arms-reduction negotiation with the U.S. or Russia, given the huge gap between China’s nuclear arsenal and those of the U.S. and Russia,” said Fu Cong, director general of the foreign ministry’s Arms Control Department. “The U.S. and Russia, as the countries possessing the largest and most advanced nuclear arsenals, bear special and primary responsibilities on nuclear disarmament.”

 

Eoin Treacy's view

There is a Chinese expression to the effect “when the stork and the clam fight, the fisherman wins”. China is content for the USA and Russia to face off against one another in mutual agreements to curtail development of even more powerful nuclear weapons. Meanwhile the hypersonic missiles it is developing and showing off to the world in parades are an alternative first strike weapon where there are no treaties on containment.

 

 

Eoin's personal portfolio: precious metals long initiated

 

Eoin Treacy's view

One of the most commonly asked questions by subscribers is how to find details of my open traders. In an effort to make it easier I will simply repost the latest summary daily until there is a change. I'll change the title to the date of publication of new details so you will know when the information was provided.

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