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London’s mining stocks rise as Deutsche Bank says sell-off is overdone

Investors have been pulling money out of mining stocks amid fears that Chinese demand is about to slump again like it did in 2015, but Deutsche reckons that’s unlikely to happen

Anglo American - London’s mining stocks rise as Deutsche Bank says recent sell-off was overdone
China is the world’s largest consumer of raw materials

Recessionary fears drove a sharp correction in mining stocks over summer, but analysts at Deutsche Bank reckon the sell-off was overdone.

Because of that, they think the recent fall has now created a “tactical” buying opportunity.

“While uncertainty and macro risks are high, we see scope for a tactical rebound on a six-month horizon,” said the analysts in a note to clients.

“The pervasive fear in the market is that we enter a 2015 type slowdown which saw negative China and global steel demand for several quarters.

“While we expect a deceleration in China steel demand in the year ahead (2% in 2020 from 5% in 2019) we think a 2015 style slowdown is an overly pessimistic scenario.

READ: Major mining companies faltering as trade war hammers commodity prices and dampens demand

Anglo American PLC (LON:AAL) is Deutsche Bank’s top pick, with the number crunchers highlighting the “compelling” valuation of the “well diversified” business.

Alongside repetition of ‘buy’ ratings for Anglo and Glencore PLC (LON:GLEN), the German investment bank upped its recommendation for BHP Group PLC (LON:BHP) from ‘hold’ to ‘buy’.

There was a downgrade for Antofagasta PLC (LON:ANTO), which was moved from ‘hold’ to ‘sell’ given that its shares have strongly outperformed the sector so far in 2019.

All of London’s major miners traded higher on Wednesday, with Anglo American the top riser, up 1.7% to 1,803p. BHP rose 0.4% to 1,772, while Fresnillo also added 0.4% to sit at 766p.

Even Antofagasta, the only miner to attract a 'sell' recommendation in the note, was up, rising 1% to 842.2p.

Quick facts: Anglo American PLC

Price: 1979 GBX

LSE:AAL
Market: LSE
Market Cap: £26.98 billion
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