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Northland Capital Partners View on the City - Motif Bio (LON:MTFB); Sunrise Resources (LON:SRES); Skinbiotherapeutics (LON:SBTX)

SECTOR: HEALTHCARE; MINING

MOTIF BIO (MTFB.L)

SECTOR – HEALTHCARE

RATING –BUY*

MARKET CAP – £90.0m

CURRENT PRICE – 34p#

ANALYST – VADIM ALEXANDRE

Year-end Dec

2015A

2016A

2017E

2018E

Revenue (£m)

-

-

EBITDA (£m)

(5.7)

(29.4)

Adj. pre-tax Profit (£m)

(8.5)

(29.9)

Adj. EPS (p)

(13.9)

(13.9)

DPS (p)

-

-

Under

Review

Net Cash/(Debt) (£m)

24.8

26.0

P/E (x)

-

-

Dividend yield (%)

-

-

EV/EBITDA (x)

-

-

SOURCE: Northland Capital Partners Limited estimates. #Priced at prior trading day close. *Northland Capital Partners Limited acts as Joint Broker to Motif Bio Plc and therefore this information should be viewed as a Marketing Communication.

New Iclaprim Data being Presented at ECCMID 2018

NORTHLAND VIEW

  • In a RNS REACH released this morning, Motif Bio announced that new clinical and pre-clinical data for its investigational antibiotic drug candidate, iclaprim, are being presented at the 28th European Congress of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases (‘ECCMID 2018’) in Madrid, Spain (21st – 24th April).
  • As previously reported, iclaprim’s REVIVE-2 Phase 3 study in acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections (‘ABSSSI’) met its primary endpoint of non-inferiority (NI) (10% margin) compared to vancomycin, the current standard of care. Additional detail presented at the conference confirm iclaprim was well tolerated in the trial, and 75% of adverse events in the study were categorized as mild. Levels of serum creatinine, a blood test that measures kidney function, were not affected in patients using iclaprim compared to vancomycin.
  • There were no study-drug related treatment emergent adverse events related to nephrotoxicity (kidney toxicity) reported for patients treated with iclaprim, compared to 2 (0.7%) for vancomycin. There were no deaths in the iclaprim arm, but one in the vancomycin arm. Data are also being presented on potential cost-savings opportunities for hospitals by using iclaprim to treat ABSSSI and so avoiding costs related to vancomycin-associated acute kidney injury (VA-AK).
  • Thomas L. Holland, M.D., MSc-GH, Assistant Professor of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, who is presenting the data, said: “Based on these findings, I believe that iclaprim has the potential to be a useful addition to the treatment armamentarium for patients with ABSSSI suspected or confirmed to be due to Gram-positive pathogens, particularly those at high risk of kidney injury.”

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company specialising in the development of novel antibiotics

SKINBIOTHERAPEUTICS (SBTX.L)

SECTOR – HEALTHCARE

RATING – CORP*

MARKET CAP – £13.7m

CURRENT PRICE – 11.5p#

ANALYST – BARRY GIBB

Year-end Jun

2016A

2017A

Revenue (£m)

x

x

EBITDA (£m)

(0.0)

(0.7)

Adj. pre-tax Profit (£m)

(0.0)

(0.7)

Adj. EPS (p)

(0.03)

(1.11)

DPS (p)

x

x

No forecasts provided

Net Cash/(Debt) (£m)

0.3

4.0

P/E (x)

x

x

Dividend yield (%)

x

x

EV/EBITDA (x)

x

x

SOURCE: Northland Capital Partners Limited estimates. #Priced at prior trading day close. *Northland Capital Partners Limited acts as Joint Broker to SkinBioTherapeutics and therefore this information should be viewed as a Marketing Communication.

Initiation of Coverage (note attached)

NORTHLAND VIEW

SkinBioTherapeutics (‘SkinBio’, ‘the Company’) is an early mover in the microbiome skincare space, a rapidly growing market. The Company is developing a novel skincare treatment consisting of extracts taken from beneficial (‘probiotic’) bacteria. Their proprietary probiotic platform, SkinBiotix®, has completed preclinical studies and is expected to complete a human volunteer study in 2018.

  • Early mover in a growing market: SkinBio is an early entrant in the new and potentially high growth market of probiotic skin health. Since 2010, microbiome companies have attracted c.US$840m in equity investments globally (Silicon Valley Bank). Probiotic cosmetics are attracting significant media attention across the large newspapers (The Times, Daily Mail) and lifestyle magazines (Vogue, Harpers).
  • Lean business model: The Company operates a semi-virtual business structure and focuses on developing commercially-ready technology to be licensed to larger companies for marketing of the end-product. The microbiome is a growing area and is attracting significant interest from large cosmetic and consumer goods companies, including L’Oréal, Procter & Gamble and Johnson & Johnson.
  • Material transfer agreement signed with global consumer goods company: This agreement demonstrates the level of interest from potential partners and the commercial prospects of the SkinBiotix® platform.
  • Strong preclinical data: The Company has completed three toxicity tests with no safety issues, clearing a hurdle in the regulatory process and further de-risking the pathway to commercialisation.
  • First human studies in 2018: The Company intends to conduct and complete a volunteer study for the cosmetic application of SkinBiotix® in 2018. Positive data should permit labelling of the cosmetic as ‘dermatologically tested’. Cosmetic studies are shorter than drug trials, providing a shorter path to commercialisation.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Preclinical healthcare company developing topical applications consisting of extracts of probiotic bacteria for skin health.

SUNRISE RESOURCES (SRES.L)

SECTOR – MINING

RATING – CORP*

MARKET CAP – £3.0m

CURRENT PRICE – 0.14p#

ANALYST – DR RYAN D. LONG

Year-end Sept

2016A

2017A

Revenue (£m)

-

-

No forecasts provided

EBITDA (£m)

(0.4)

(0.3)

Adj. pre-tax Profit (£m)

(0.4)

(0.3)

Adj. EPS (p)

(0.04)

(0.02)

DPS (p)

-

-

Net Cash/(Debt) (£m)

0.05

0.12

P/E (x)

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