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Numis analysts reckon IG is worth a punt after recent share price fall

IG beat Numis forecasts with last week’s first-quarter results, but the stock has slipped 10% in the days since, taking it down into ‘good value’ territory
share chart
Numis analysts moved their recommendation from ‘add’ to a more bullish ‘buy’

City broker Numis thinks online trading firm IG Group PLC (LON:IGG) is worth a punt now, following last week’s first-quarter update.

Revenue fell to £128.9mln in the three months to August 31 from a record of £135.2mln a year ago, even as the number of clients rose by 3% to 129,000.

READ: IG revenues slide in Q1

The heightened level of volatility in financial markets which fuelled spreadbetters’ profits last year had not continued, while a regulatory crack-down designed to protect retail customers from losing too much money had also impacted trading.

Those results were still good enough to beat Numis’ forecasts but the stock has fallen more than 10% since, making it good value, according to the broker.

“Following the better than forecast Q1 performance where IG reported revenues of £128.9m against our estimate of £121.0m in a quiet quarter with some of the ESMA impact we are today upgrading,” read a note to clients.

“For this year and next our revenue forecast increases by 2% to £534.4m and £579.3m respectively. Given the recent weakness our recommendation moves to ‘buy’ from ‘add’.”

Shares fell another 2.1% to 761p on Tuesday following a profit warning from rival CMC Markets PLC (LON:CMCX).

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