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Business & education services

Citigroup ups its target price for Capita, repeats ‘buy’ rating, thinks outsourcer could have reached its nadir

Citigroup's analyst also upped the earnings per share estimate for the outsourcing firm for 2019-2020 by around 1% following recent news of the Ministry of Defence’s military fire and rescue services contract win

Citigroup has increased its target price for outsourcing group Capita PLC (LON:CPI) to 190p from 160p to reflect lower debt forecasts and increases in earnings estimates and a repeated a ‘buy’ rating on the stock.

In response, in mid-morning trading, Capita shares were 0.9% higher at 163.5p.

READ: Capita jumps on MoD contract win, plus £160mln sale of non-core supplier assessment business

In a note to clients, analysts at the US investment bank said its forecast for the FTSE 250-listed firm’s net debt is now around £100mln lower having raised its estimates for proceeds the Constructionline/ParkingEye disposals to £300mln from £200mln.

They said they have also upped the earnings per share estimate for the firm for 2019-2020 by around 1% following recent news of the Ministry of Defence’s military fire and rescue services contract win.

The analysts have also lowered their 2020 sector EV/EBITA discount for Capita shares to 10%-20% from 20%-30% to reflect reduced balance sheet risk following the agreed £160mln Constructionline disposal.

They concluded: “Earnings rebasement, a rebuilt balance sheet and another £105mln cost savings targeted post-2018 suggest that Capita should have reached its nadir.”

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