Proactive Investors - Run By Investors For Investors

Exane BNP Paribas less bearish on DMGT, says most risks are now priced in

DMGT issued several profit warnings last year, but with the dirty laundry having now been washed in public, Exane expects a less bumpy ride in 2018
daily mail newspaper
The Mail Online is the world’s largest English-speaking newspaper website, with more than 211mln monthly unique visitors

Analysts at Exane BNP Paribas have upgraded Daily Mail and General Trust PLC (LON:DMGT) from ‘underperform’ to ‘neutral’.

The Daily Mail owner has issued a series of profits warnings over the past year or so and has seen its shares fall by almost 20% as a result.

READ: Daily Mail and General places struggling, US property information business into Chapter 7 liquidation

Exane analyst William Packer said that makes the stock look undervalued compared to its peers, given that it is currently trading at about a 30% discount to some of them.

After having to slash forecasts in 2017, Packer reckons the company’s guidance for 2018 is “appropriately cautious”.

“After a disappointing FY17, the B2B portfolio outlook is in better shape for FY18 – e.g. solar headwinds receding, Xelligent closure, oil and gas events improving.”

On top of that, the analyst also notes that DMGT has been upfront with its issues which means there shouldn’t be too many unwanted surprises for investors this time around.

“We see a number of factors limiting downside in other divisions: I) the company now guides for limited RMS(One) monetisation in 2018; II) the company is conservatively guiding for a c5% revenue decline at DMG media, implying no price increases, a tough print UK ad market and a slowdown at Mail Online,” said Packer.

That’s in the short-term, but Exane is much more upbeat about the medium-term outlook for DMGT.

READ: DMGT slumps as it warns of further declines in newspaper advertising after 2017 loss

“In particular, at RMS(One) feedback from early adopters has been mildly positive, while significant losses going forward are included in our group forecasts,” said Packer.

The analyst added that the RMS business “retains significant long-term value”, while DMG events is still an “attractive asset in a consolidating space”.

As well as moving his rating up to ‘neutral’, Packer its thinks shares are worth 630p – considerably higher than his last target of 530p.

Shares were up 0.8% to 613p.

View full DMGT profile View Profile

Daily Mail and General Trust Timeline

September 27 2018

Related Articles

March 22 2019
The healthcare-focused advisory group boasts good levels of forward bookings thanks to several new business wins at the beginning of 2019
June 26 2019
Speaking in April, Next’s chief executive Tim Dyson said the company had “lots of scope” for acquisitions in the coming year
Live Company
July 05 2019
In June 2019 the company signed a five-year deal to create tours themed around properties owned by children’s television network Nickelodeon

© Proactive Investors 2019

Proactive Investors Limited, trading as “Proactiveinvestors United Kingdom”, is Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
Registered in England with Company Registration number 05639690. Group VAT registration number 872070825 FCA Registration number 559082. You can contact us here.

Market Indices, Commodities and Regulatory News Headlines copyright © Morningstar. Data delayed 15 minutes unless otherwise indicated. Terms of use