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Reach PLC RCH View profile

Broker says CMA ruling on Google shifts power balance towards UK publishers

The Competition and Markets Authority's decision to impose a conduct requirement on Google over its use of publisher content in artificial intelligence search marks a meaningful shift in the balance of power between the technology giant and content owners, according to Panmure Liberum.

The broker said it takes a positive view of the ruling, which was announced on 3 June following a consultation process that began in January 2026, after the CMA designated Google as having strategic market status in October 2025.

The conduct requirement has three core elements: giving publishers effective controls to withhold their content from Google's generative AI systems, including for training and grounding purposes.

This requires Google to publish clear metrics on how publisher content is being used in AI search features, and mandates accurate attribution of content so consumers can verify AI-generated responses and publishers can protect their brand value.

Panmure said the ruling provides publishers with a practical basis to negotiate more fairly with Google for the commercial value of their content, noting that Google has already made it technically possible for publishers to switch off access via Search Console.

The broker said news publishers such as Reach PLC (LSE:RCH), which it rates as a 'buy' with a 139p target price, are likely to be among the most immediate commercial beneficiaries given the need for AI search to draw on up-to-date news content, while interest-specific publishers such as Future, also rated buy with a 500p target, should also benefit meaningfully.

Panmure acknowledged criticisms of the ruling, including concerns over the opt-out rather than opt-in basis, a nine-month implementation window for Google, and questions over enforcement, but said these do not override the fundamentally favourable nature of the arrangement, which is designed to be dynamic and capable of evolving alongside the AI market.

The broker also flagged the ongoing lawsuit brought by five major publishers, including Elsevier, part of RELX, against Meta over alleged copyright infringement in training its AI models, describing it as a potentially landmark case for the wider legal protection of intellectual property in the AI era.

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