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Transport

Jet2's forward bookings the thing to watch

Jet2 PLC (AIM:JET2) share price has run into a bout of turbulence recently with Ryanair’s caution about forward demand knocking its rivals and what the UK carrier says about forward booking will be the focus I this Thursday’s (11 July) results.

UBS expects full-year revenues of £6.5bn (FY23: c£5bn), underlying profit [Ebit] of c£435m (FY 23: £394m) and net income of £401m (2023: £291m).

In a recent trading update, the company said pre-tax profits before foreign exchange movements would be £515-520m.

“All focus will be on the summer outlook and potential FY25 guidance (FY 25e fuel 80% hedged).

“In April the company said summer capacity will be up 12% with LF up 1% and flight bookings up 18%.

Pricing showed a “modest increase”.

Deutsche Bank adds that, unlike the low-cost carriers, Jet2 is primarily a tour operator with 70% of seats sold as part of a package holiday.

This lowers earnings risk in a softer yield environment as package holidays are typically booked 6 months before departure whereas low-cost carriers' peak booking is nearer 6 weeks.

Deutsche Bank adds that 25% of the cost of a package holiday is the flight, meaning customers should be less price-sensitive to the aviation component.

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