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UK economy rebounds in November driven by service sector

The UK economy rebounded more than forecast in November driven by growth in the services sector, according to official figures which ease fears of a technical recession.

Gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.3% month on month in November, following a 0.3% decline the previous month, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), stronger than the 0.2% growth forecast by economists.

The figures were lifted by 0.4% growth in services output in November which followed a fall of 0.1% in October, revised up from a 0.2% fall.

Production output grew by 0.3% in November, following a fall of 1.3% in October (revised down from a 0.8% fall) and the construction sector fell by 0.2% in November after a fall of 0.4% in October (revised up from a 0.5% fall).

ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said: “GDP bounced back in the month of November . . . led by services with retail, car leasing and computer games companies all having a buoyant month.

“The longer-term picture remains one of an economy that has shown little growth over the last year,” he added.

Samuel Tombs at Pantheon Macroeconomics said it was a “coin toss” as to whether the UK economy will avoid a second consecutive quarterly fall in the fourth quarter.

“Nevertheless, with employment still rising and business and consumer confidence recovering, it would be overblown to label this a recession if GDP did indeed drop slightly,” he said.

He pointed out November’s increase in GDP reversed all of October’s decline, rebounding in consumer-facing sectors after spending in October was adversely affected by Storm Babet and the later-than-usual timing of school holidays in some areas.

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