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The Markets
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The Markets
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Mining

Glencore-Teck saga closes with both emerging as winners, analysts say

Glencore PLC (LSE:GLEN) and Teck Resources Ltd (TSX:TECK.B) are each winners in the former’s strategic acquisition of Elk Valley Resources (EVR) deal, Teck’s coal business, according to analysts at Jefferies.

“(A) Glencore acquisition of EVR makes sense strategically and economically, and a sale of EVR should be a significant positive for Teck,” Jefferies wrote following news of the finalized deal.

“The bottom line is that Glencore is getting what we believe to be one of the best businesses in mining while Teck is getting cash to pay down debt, deliver capital returns, and invest in growth. A win-win, in our view.”

Glencore's acquisition of EVR is viewed as advantageous, securing one of the mining industry's premier businesses. Simultaneously, Teck stands to gain significantly, receiving $6.93 billion in cash from the sale of a 77% EVR stake to Glencore.

Additionally, Nippon Steel acquires a 20% stake for $8.5 billion, and Posco obtains the remaining 3% in exchange for ownership stakes in EVR's assets.

The cash influx enables Teck to reduce debt, deliver capital returns, and invest in growth, Jefferies noted.

Glencore plans to demerge its coal business within 24 months post the EVR deal, targeting a net debt cap of $5 billion.

Jefferies also sees the sale setting up Teck for substantial capital returns, anywhere from $3-5 billion, with favorable long-term prospects in higher copper volumes and prices.

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