Comment of the Day
8th August 2023
EOIN TREACY
AUG 9
Video commentary for August 8th 2023
A link to today's video commentary is posted in the Subscriber's Area.
Some of the topics discussed include: stocks ease back but close off lows. oil rebounds from intraday lows, gold steady, industrial metals weak, China weak, bonds steady, bitcoin eases following yesterday's surge.
Secular bull markets versus industrial revolutions
Eoin Treacy's view
I had the great pleasure of spending several days last week with David Brown talking about the drug discovery process, how artificial intelligence can be harnessed to speed it up, and how that all fits into the discussion around the evolution of a 3rd (some say 4th) industrial revolution. I discussed some of my updated thoughts on the subject in the Friday Big Picture audio/video. Here are some more; hopefully in a clearer format.
Before digging into the weeds, there is an important question to answer. Can you have a secular bull market without an industrial revolution? Of course the answer is yes. Industrial revolutions evolve over decades and can last a century. In that time there will be several long-term bull and bear market cycles through various asset classes.
For example, the evolution of China’s economy over the last 30 years was about the adoption of capitalistic economic policies and harnessing the labour of a billion people. That was a political decision to deploy lessons already learned elsewhere rather than new thinking. Secular bull markets in commodities develop because demand leaps higher before supply can adjust.
This section continues in the Subscriber's Area.
Eoin's personal portfolio: two investment positions opened August 1st 2023
One of the questions subscribers ask most often is how to find details of my open trades. To make it easier I will simply repost the latest summary on a daily basis until there is a change.
This section continues in the Subscriber's Area.
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