Analysts at Jefferies have reiterated a 'hold' rating for Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC (LSE:RR.) following Tuesday’s news that the US Army has awarded its Future Long-Range Assault Aircraft (FLRAA) to Textron (NYSE:TXT)'s Bell V-280 Valor helicopter, which is powered by engines provided by the British engineer.
Jefferies’ base case estimates that the contract represents a 3.4p value per share, or 3.7% of London-listed RR shares at pre-announcement levels.
While Rolls-Royce estimates a delivery of 5,000 AE 1107F engines to be rolled out starting from 2030 under the contract, analysts’ base case is 30% below the stated programme volume, and 50% below per the most conservative estimates “to reflect some downsizing risk to the programme”.
Jefferies assumes a delivery timeline between 28 and 38 years, therefore: “We expect very limited impact over 2023-2025 on sales and EBIT, as the program only starts generating development revenues”.
Rolls-Royce was given a 12-month share price target of 90p, representing a 2% fall from the latest market price of 91.78p.