GOLD
Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au and the currency code is XAU. It is a highly sought-after precious metal which, for many centuries, has been used as money, a store of value and in jewelry. The metal occurs as nuggets or grains in rocks, underground "veins" and in alluvial deposits. Modern industrial uses include dentistry and electronics, where gold has traditionally found use because of its good resistance to oxidative corrosion.
Gold continues to climb as US dollar weakens overnight in Asian trading
Gold continued to rise overnight in Asia, advancing towards US$1,170 per ounce as the US dollar index fell almost 0.75% as investors continued to raise concerns over the status of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. The gold price has risen from around $750/ounce twelve months ago driven primarily by growing fears over inflation and specifically the decline of the US Dollar.
The relationship between the US Dollar and the gold price is one of the longest standing principles in the global economy. The gold price and the US Dollar has a directly inverse relationship, typically a fall in the dollar will prompt an increase in value for gold and vice-versa.
There are two primary factors that govern this relationship. Firstly like all major commodities gold is primarily priced in dollars therefore a weaker dollar increases the inherent value of the commodity particularly for investors outside the US. For example as the value of the dollar declines against the Euro, someone investing in gold with Euro’s would be able to buy more physical gold per Euro invested.
The second and perhaps the most crucial factor relates to international reserves. All nations, through central banks, store a proportion of their wealth in a ‘reserve’, which exists to protect the relative value of the economy’s wealth.
Whilst there is some level of diversification, economic reserves are primarily held in US Dollars and a combination of other assets including Gold and other major international currencies.
In general terms the world’s primary reserve currency is used as the ‘international currency’ with most subsequent currencies ‘pegged’ against relative value against the reserve currency. Historically reserves were principally held in gold, however since the ‘gold standard’ was removed in 1973, currencies and specifically the US Dollar have increasingly taken precedence.
So with the US Dollar suffering some of the heaviest devaluation for several decades, the gold price continues to gain support as investors and central bankers, sell dollars and buy gold due to perceptions of greater stability in the physical asset against volatile currency markets.
Recent market commentary and analyst opinion has been mixed in reference to the immediate outlook for the gold price, considering the substantial rally over recent months. Some are predicting a short term dollar recovery which will pressure any further gains while elsewhere others have more bullish views for future gold prices, with some considering $1,200 gold in 2009 as a real possibility.
Other GOLD articles
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13/11/09 Vietnam lifts ban on gold imports to stabilise domestic market
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24/10/09 African gold developers and producers are benefiting from increased investor interest
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13/10/09 Gold yet to test record highs against other currencies, including Rand and Australian Dollar
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11/09/09 Exeter Resources, Norseman Gold, Sino Gold and Osisko among best performing gold stocks
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01/08/09 Central Bank dollar holdings - good for gold, bad for dollar?
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30/07/09 Patagonia Gold, Pan African Resources, Norseman Gold, Medusa Mining and Minera IRL among top 100 best performing gold stocks
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09/04/09 Gold at Inflection Point?
Other GOLD news
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09/02/10 Gold back above $1,070 as Greece debt jitters ease to boost euro
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08/02/10 Randgold Resources, Fresnillo and Lonmin gain as gold, silver and platinum inch higher
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05/02/10 Gold drops to $1,054 as US Dollar gains against euro on debt concerns
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04/02/10 Gold drops to $1,100 as US dollar firms ahead of unemployment update, miners fall
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03/02/10 Gold retreats as US Dollar climbs ahead of US non-farm payrolls update
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02/02/10 Randgold Resources, Lonmin and Fresnillo gain as gold, silver and platinum rise on weaker US Dollar
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01/02/10 Gold returns to $1,085 as US Dollar declines against euro, Randgold Resources and Petropavlovsk fall
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29/01/10 Gold remains below $1,085 as US Dollar climbs against euro on Greece debt concerns
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28/01/10 Gold returns to $1,090 as US Dollar eases against euro after Obama's State of the Union speech
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27/01/10 Randgold Resources and Petropavlovsk retreat as gold stays at $1,090 on stronger US Dollar
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